I wrote a short piece on Monday about the announcement of the UK's national debt figures for September 2008.
Since then, the Centre for Policy Studies have published a brief report by Conservative MP Brooks Newmark estimating that the cost of what's 'hidden' from the national debt figures - relating to unfunded public pensions liabilities, the full cost of PFI projects, Network Rail's debt and Bradford & Bingley's nationalisation - is much higher than the official figures.
They estimate that this figure is as high as £1,854bn, three times the official figures announced on Monday, or, including the further £500bn that's been promised for bank bailouts, £2,354bn.
In addition to Monday's figures, this has been broken down as being:
* £1,071bn on public pensions using the discount rate from the risk-free yield on index-linked government debt (as the government is not at risk of default),
* £30bn for Bradford & Bingley (using the justification that by being the second nationalisation in a year it is, by definition, not a 'one-off'),
* £20bn for Network Rail which the government would have to pay if the company failed; and
* £100bn for PFI projects - not including the ever-present risk of failure of PFI (this is a Tory pamphlet, so they don't want to suggest that private finance might be a bad thing!)
Including the banking bailout, this amounts to 161% of the UK GDP or £96,475 per household.
Perhaps Gordon shouldn't have been quite so quick to start pulling up figures about our GDP debt compared to other countries
Showing posts with label Centre for Policy Studies. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Centre for Policy Studies. Show all posts
Friday, October 24, 2008
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